Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.020572 0.023980 0.027742 0.032197 0.037326 0.043038 0.049879
2025-11-02 0.014795 0.019023 0.024130 0.030733 0.039024 0.049071 0.062146
2025-11-09 0.011193 0.015687 0.021556 0.029744 0.040825 0.055245 0.075377
2025-11-16 0.008967 0.013564 0.020000 0.029596 0.043453 0.062633 0.091069
2025-11-23 0.007154 0.011603 0.018237 0.028738 0.044811 0.068314 0.105061
2025-11-30 0.006287 0.010847 0.018034 0.030027 0.049339 0.078954 0.127432
2025-12-07 0.005345 0.009775 0.017131 0.030026 0.051793 0.086673 0.146231
2025-12-14 0.004426 0.008559 0.015771 0.029019 0.052399 0.091441 0.160791
2025-12-21 0.003795 0.007729 0.014919 0.028709 0.054060 0.098022 0.178970
2025-12-28 0.003522 0.007516 0.015122 0.030282 0.059183 0.110997 0.209472
2026-01-04 0.003198 0.007141 0.014958 0.031125 0.063040 0.122116 0.237837
2026-01-11 0.002738 0.006403 0.013968 0.030213 0.063429 0.126910 0.255077
2026-01-18 0.002392 0.005857 0.013301 0.029887 0.064985 0.134193 0.278092
2026-01-25 0.002046 0.005245 0.012400 0.028939 0.065156 0.138813 0.296476
2026-02-01 0.001769 0.004743 0.011656 0.028215 0.065684 0.144180 0.316918
2026-02-08 0.001579 0.004414 0.011251 0.028181 0.067683 0.152750 0.344821
2026-02-15 0.001370 0.003998 0.010575 0.027416 0.067939 0.157647 0.365469
2026-02-22 0.001298 0.003932 0.010737 0.028677 0.073004 0.173483 0.411436
2026-03-01 0.001171 0.003688 0.010414 0.028691 0.075117 0.182980 0.444314
2026-03-08 0.001016 0.003334 0.009748 0.027734 0.074744 0.186767 0.464616
2026-03-15 0.000909 0.003098 0.009359 0.027440 0.075979 0.194414 0.494641
2026-03-22 0.000879 0.003098 0.009624 0.028950 0.082020 0.214128 0.555244
2026-03-29 0.000827 0.003014 0.009635 0.029759 0.086320 0.230040 0.608196